AhlulBayt News Agency (ABNA): Two authors, Juan Cavases Vega and Antonio Bita, believe that Israel is once again repeating its historical pattern in attacking southern Lebanon. There are indications that the regime is again sinking into a long-term quagmire. This situation coincides with the escalation of Israeli military violence against Lebanese civilians, which not only fails to weaken Hezbollah but rather strengthens its role.
In an article in the Spanish newspaper El País, the two authors write that the collective memory of Israelis today has revived the term "mud" or "quagmire" to describe the occupation of southern Lebanon between 1982 and 2000. At that time, the war began with the promise of decisive security against the Palestine Liberation Organization, but after eighteen years of attrition, it ended with a hasty withdrawal; a pattern now being repeated with the same rhetoric against Hezbollah, a group that itself emerged from that very occupation.
This concept has become so deeply ingrained that Hezbollah has turned it into a symbol at the Mleeta Museum, displaying remnants of Israeli equipment—a scene even reflected in Israeli cinema, in the Oscar-nominated film Beaufort.
According to the authors, Benjamin Netanyahu's government, with this fifth incursion (following those of 1978, 1982, 2006, and 2024), has brought Israel back to square one; an attack that is presented to the Israeli public each time as a final effort to secure the northern borders of the occupied territories.
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